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Posts by Justin Dew

What to do with Code of Honor?

One of my strongest opinions heading in to the Breeders’ Cup was that Code of Honor was a play-against in the Juvenile.  My basis for this stance was my opinion that his visually-impressive 2nd in the Champagne was dressed up by the fast pace he closed into.  But he scratched out of the BC, so…

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Tourney Talk- Saturday’s Santa Anita NHC Qualifier

As I type this, I am supposed to be landing at Midway Airport in Chicago to compete in the Friday and Saturday NHC qualifiers at Hawthorne while seated at a table with adequate electrical outlets alongside July Hawthorne contest winner Steve Decaspers.  But as you may have noticed from recent social media posts of mine,…

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Goodbye to an a**hole of a year

As 2017 ended and 2018 began, I was sitting at what was then the peak of my career as a horseplayer.  August 2017 brought an in-the-money finish in the Wynn Handicapping Challenge and a prize of $8,500.  In the span of one week in November, I ended the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge with a bankroll…

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Anatomy of a Losing Pick 4 Ticket

Is there anything to be learned from a losing $36 Pick 4 ticket?  I’d say there is always at least something to be learned. The lesson may not be all that profound.  And you may learn you were right to make the play you made.  But losing is something to be avoided and you need…

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Dancing the Mendoza Line

Baseball fans know the Mendoza Line as this, per Wikipedia: The Mendoza Line is an expression in baseball in the United States, deriving from the name of shortstop Mario Mendoza, whose poor batting average is taken to define the threshold of incompetent hitting. The cutoff point is most often said to be .200[1] (although Mendoza’s…

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A little Aqueduct Pick 6 fun for your Thursday

(4:00pm update: I really hope no one read this.) We’ve got a nifty little carryover in the Aqueduct Pick 6 in store for us today.  A free $175k never hurt anyone, right?  Let’s take a small swing on a tough card and see if we can get lucky with a clever opinion or two. Race…

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Best Bets and Best Opinions

The day before the Breeders’ Cup, I was asked what my best play of the weeknd was.  And because I take questions like this very seriously and sometimes get way too cute with my answers, I responded “Well, my best BET of the weekend is City of Light, but my best OPINION is Magical.”  Now,…

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Blacktype missed the break and that was it

When you watch the reply of last Saturday’s Fort Lauderdale Stakes from Gulfstream Park, you’ll notice two interesting things just before and just after they break from the gate.  First, right before the gates open, Blacktype, in post 6, loses focus for just a brief second as he seems to raise his head and shift…

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