Posts by Justin Dew

What a difference a year makes

Edit: Please stop reading now. I’m embarrassed. A mere 12 months ago, Well Defined was sent to post as the 9/2 third wagering choice in the Tampa Bay Derby, just one race after winning the Sam F. Davis Stakes and becoming a graded stakes winner. Well Defined could manage only 8th that day, and has…

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But what about Three Technique?

Talking about Kentucky Derby preps in the context of the actual Kentucky Derby is perhaps a bit silly at this point. We don’t know if the race is going to be run at all, much less when. That said, we can still analyze individual performances and try to uncover efforts that might be better than…

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Breaking News: Horse Racing Journalism Doesn’t Exist

Since I’m pretty fired up and not in the mood to temper my thoughts at the moment, let me qualify what follows with some commentary that is in no way an attempt to soften the message I am trying to send, but rather an effort to make sure all that I am about to write…

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The reasons I’ll be back

Everyone hates bad-beat stories because we all have our own and we’ve heard yours before. Whether you’re betting through the windows or playing in contests, every sob story is pretty much the same. “I needed the 6 for my Pick 4 and he got an awful ride.” Or, “I was gonna use the 7 in…

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LoneSpeed Thursday Play of the Day

Gulfstream Park Race 6- #6 Hilltop Harmony (6/1) Two days in a row, we have given out Plays of the Day that ran absolutely huge races but failed to win. We’ll spare you a breakdown of what happened with Wednesday’s play Took a Cab if you’ll promise to go back and watch the replay (GP…

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Gulfstream Park Wednesday Play of the Day

Race 2: #6 Took a Cab First, a quick word about yesterday’s Play of the Day. For the most part, we were right. Golden Loch ran huge at 13-1 in Fair Grounds’ 4th. I don’t know if she could have beaten the winner, but without the traffic issues in mid-stretch, she would have been much…

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Tuesday Fair Grounds Play of the Day

Race 4- #3 Golden Loch (8/1) There may not be enough pace signed on in here to give Golden Loch a chance to fire her best shot. But there are a couple of reasons to believe she will be a much better price than she should be in this MSW event against seven foes. And…

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Imaginary Track Bias?

Not enough time has passed just yet for me to write about my performance at the NHC earlier this month. It’s just something I am not emotionally prepared to put to words. In short, I had a bad Friday, a great Saturday, and a Sunday that didn’t really matter. We’ll leave it at that for…

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