ANGLES

Does class even matter?

By Justin Dew | January 6, 2019 | 3 Comments

We all put different degrees of emphasis on different aspects of handicapping.  Some people focus largely on pace.  For others, class is a bigger deal.  And then you add in recent form, connections, track conditions, trips, and all of a sudden you’ve got six handicappers identifying six different horses as the most likely winner of…

Can Hanson continue the hotness with American Falls?

By Justin Dew | January 5, 2019 | 0 Comments

It’s Saturday. You’re playing Santa Anita.  And you’re in the mood to bet a filly that looks overmatched on paper but that might sneak up and get a piece of the pie at a price.  Well, you’re in luck.  Because have I got the filly for you!!! (Maybe.  We don’t make promises here.) First, let’s…

Do jockeys really matter?

By Craig Spencer | December 28, 2018 | 4 Comments

How much does a jockey matter in determining the outcome of a race? Each summer for about 5 years in the mid-1970’s my Dad packed up the family and we would head to Billings, Montana for a couple of weeks for the Yellowstone Exhibition.  There was a female jockey riding there named Susie Wilson. I…

The Ultimate Equipment Change

By Craig Spencer | December 14, 2018 | 0 Comments

The first time I really noticed the First Time Gelding angle was purely by chance.  I played a Carryovered Pick 5 at Fresno on October 9, 2011.  I had singled the #8 horse, Pico Pete, in the second leg (the 7th race) however I had meant to single the 6 but I couldn’t read my…

LONESPEED HORSE

Another Day. Another Lesson.

By Justin Dew | December 3, 2018 | 4 Comments

In last Saturday’s first race at Gulfstream Park, I loved a filly named And She’s Off at 10-1 on the morning line in part because she had been bet to odds of 4-1 in her debut just three weeks earlier, and because she was a $725,000 yearling purchase.  She ended up running butt naked dead…

Was it the workouts?

By Justin Dew | October 15, 2018 | 3 Comments

Sunday’s finale at the Lexington, Kentucky racetrack that I refuse to mention by name was more than just the last race of the day.  It was the last race of the day’s huge BCBC/NHC contest as well.  So there were sure to be major shifts in the leaderboard as contest players tried to gain ground…

When is 5-1 a gift?

By Justin Dew | October 1, 2018 | 0 Comments

For starters, I did not bet on the horse or even the race we are about to discuss.  So this isn’t a redboard. I’d like to direct your attention to Santa Anita’s 8th race on Sunday.  A $25k claimer for non-winners of two lifetime at 7F on the dirt.  Eight horse field.  Here is your…

Three Angles for Saturday

By Justin Dew | September 28, 2018 | 0 Comments

The name of the game is value.  And sometimes we have a tendency to force our way into finding it when perhaps it isn’t there.  That said, there are three horses running at Belmont on Saturday that warrant at least a second look and maybe an inclusion in your wagers. Race 8- The Joe Hirsch…

This never works

By Justin Dew | September 22, 2018 | 0 Comments

I’ve seen it happen so many times over the years.  A horse is taken out of his normal, established running style in an attempt to make him more competitive in a given race, and the change in tactics doesn’t work and the horse runs off the board.  Does that mean Bill Mott’s clear attempt to…

Digging deeper into the PPs

By Justin Dew | September 4, 2018 | 0 Comments

Let’s go back in time to August 11th at Saratoga.  Race 1.  I had decided the night before that Bootlegger was going to be the play that started off the day for me.  But in listening to Gabby Gaudet’s pre-race analysis, I happened to catch her comment that Bootlegger didn’t run particularly well over a…