Posts by Justin Dew

Should we even try to beat Shancelot?

If Beyer Speed Figures are your thing, and if you believe that Shancelot should have things his own way up front early in the Allen Jerkens today at Saratoga, then you probably feel he’s an obvious single in all of your multi-race plays. However, if you think that there is no way Irad Ortiz aboard…

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Don’t Dismiss This Travers Bomb

It would not shock me if any of the 12 entrants in this year’s Travers Stakes hit the wire first. If you’re playing the multi-race bets, using the ALL button probably isn’t insane. No, I don’t give Everfast much of a shot (watch him win), but since he did manage to run 2nd in the…

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It’s Time for Wow Cat

Betting on horses requires you to have opinions. Some opinions are going to be stronger than others, and some bets will be larger than others. Occasionally, an opinion will be a negative one about a favorite. Other times, the opinion will be a positive one about a non-favorite. Every so often, a race will feature…

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LoneSpeed Belmont Stakes Analysis

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. From a handicapping standpoint, the first two legs of the Triple Crown have been poor for LoneSpeed. Kentucky Derby top pick Spinoff spun his wheels in the Churchill Downs mud and finished near the back of the pack. In the Preakness, Bourbon War…

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Do you like free money?

I get asked all the time, especially around Triple Crown season, which ADW is the best place to bet on this sport we love. And my answer is the same every time- BetPTC.com. For starters, you need to make every effort possible to maximize your wagering dollar through rebates. If you are wagering without a…

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LoneSpeed Preakness Analysis

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. Fresh off our backdoor, DQ-aided $11,000 Kentucky Derby score, we are back with some hot, juicy, downright freaky Preakness analysis and wagering suggestions. Make sure you have a change of pants nearby before reading. There is one horse, and ONLY one horse, that…

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The DQ

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. Before we begin discussing the disqualification of Maximum Security and the promotion of Country House to 1st place in the Kentucky Derby, some full disclosure for proper context is in order. I was wrong about several key horses in the race.  I didn’t…

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LoneSpeed Kentucky Derby Analysis

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. As has been well-documented by this point, favorites have won the last six runnings of the Kentucky Derby. If you have followed my wagering advice over those last six years, you lost money every year but 2013, when our top longshot managed to…

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Derby Spotlight: Tax

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. What’s the deal with former claimers this year? Maximum Security debuted for $16k. And this guy ran for a tag in his first two starts, being claimed out of the second race for $50k from Claiborne. If you like Tacitus, are you sort…

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Derby Spotlight: Cutting Humor

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. I’m going to keep this one very short. If Cutting Humor wins the Kentucky Derby, I will seriously consider forgetting everything I know about handicapping. I can name at least 12 horses that I think are more likely to win. Maybe 15. That’s…

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