Posts by Justin Dew

Tourney Talk: Will someone please pay attention?

File this post under “Constructive Criticism”, and feel free to dismiss it as just another chance for a horseplayer to gripe if you wish. Tampa Bay Downs is hosting the High Rollers Handicapping Contest on January 11th. Up for grabs, based on 100 entries, are two seats to the National Horseplayers Championship plus cash prizes…

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A new approach is needed

The sport of horse racing, at all levels, is suffering from a massive inferiority complex which has resulted in a pronounced and ongoing defensive posture that may well lead to the continuation of a string of bad decisions which, if allowed to persist, could bring about the end of horse racing in every state not…

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Tourney Talk- 52 feet equals $20,000

The Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge was, yet again, a losing proposition for me. And I don’t have the energy to go bet by bet and give you a complete rundown of the weekend. But who does’t love a good “almost” story? I think you’ll like this one. You might say this story began in 2010,…

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LoneSpeed Breeders’ Cup Value Plays

Two days. 14 races. Lots of opportunities to make money. I don’t have opinions in every race, but I do in many of them. Let’s get started. Juvenile Turf- The temptation here is to go with whichever Euro you think is best. And I won’t talk you out of that approach given how dominant shippers…

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Handicapping the Misters

It is possible, though highly unlikely, that multiple races on Breeders’ Cup weekend could be won by horses named Mr. somethings-or-other. Let’s take a look at them and decide just how many we need to take seriously.       Mr. Tip may run in the Juvenile Turf Sprint on Friday for Calumet and Jack…

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Cup Spotlight- Giant Expectations

If it seems like forever ago that Giant Expectations wired them in the San Antonio at 13-1 on opening day of the Santa Anita meet, that’s because it kinda was. If Giant Expectations makes the starting gate for the 2019 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, he will be searching for his first win in nearly two…

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Ed DeRosa will not agree with this post.

Is it laughable to suggest that a seven-time Grade 1 winner is overrated? It has to be, doesn’t it? What comes after laughable? “Beyond absurd”? Something else? Whatever. I don’t care. I’m going to do it anyway. The most overrated racehorse in America is Elate. The second-most overrated is Sistercharlie. Sistercharlie’s final race in Europe…

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Cup Spotlight- Guarana

Distaff, or Filly and Mare Sprint? I say, who cares? In Chad we trust. It’s easy to dismiss a romping debut win in the slop. How many times have we seen a horse win for fun over an off track and then never duplicate that performance? Several. So draw a line through Guarana’s maiden-breaker back…

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Cup Spotlight- Frank’s Rockette

UPDATE: Disregard this entire post because she isn’t running in the Breeders’ Cup, according to an article in Daily Racing Form on Thursday. Frank’s Rockette has been favored in all four career starts. Yet she has lost all three since her dominating maiden victory in the debut. So you may call her a money burner.…

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Cup Spotlight- Scabbard (Noose)

You may remember him as Noose. But because social justice warriors seem to always get their way these days, you now must call him Scabbard. Regardless of the name, he’s sure to fly into Arcadia under the radar in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. With Eight Rings, Maxfield, and Dennis’ Moment set to take piles upon…

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