Considering it was less than a month ago that I predicted Separationofpowers would win the Breeders’ Cup Distaff, it may not be fair or proper for me to start touting another filly. That said…
What if Abel Tasman just isn’t 100% right now? And what if Monomoy Girl’s tough sophomore campaign has left her with little in the tank, in spite of that career-best Beyer she put up at Parx? And maybe you aren’t completely sold on Wow Cat or Blue Prize. Then what? What direction to you go when looking for your Breeders’ Cup Distaff play? Have you considered La Force?
Coming off three consecutive 2nds to the likes of Unique Bella and Vale Dori, La Force has exactly two career wins and only one since May 2016. That’s quite a stretch. But since making the move from grass to dirt in August 2017, La Force has hit the board in eight of ten starts, with four of those board finishes coming in graded stakes company. The list of fillies she’s run 2nd to is impressive. And if she can get a quick pace to make her run into at Churchill Downs, her PPs seem to indicate she’ll make her move when the time comes. Viewing the replays of her races will tell you the same thing. As for talent, two of her last three BSFs were 99, which puts her right there with the best of this bunch.
On the flip side, she’ll be facing some tough girls in the Distaff. But as we outlined above, maybe you can come up with a reason to knock some of the favorites. For now, the race does not appear to be loaded with early speed, and Monomoy Girl very well may have things to herself up front at a track we know she likes. She’ll be dangerous, and she’s tough to pass. But let’s see how this race takes shape in the coming weeks. La Force may end up flying into Louisville under the radar.