Just one play at Keeneland on Saturday

Let’s try to bounce back from that awful opening day at Keeneland with a logical horse that I think will run huge today.

Race 8- The First Lady

Chad Brown starts three in here, including favorites Quidura and A Raving Beauty. But it’s 6-1 Off Limits that I think is the one who comes flying late to take this.  She was too far back in the Just A Game in June when losing to A Raving Beauty.  And she’s back at her preferred distance of 1 mile after running 5th of 6 in the Ballston Spa when unable to close into slow fractions.  I don’t love playing Leparoux on a closer on the turf, and with some give in the ground at Keeneland there is always the possibility the course will end up not to her liking.  But you have to think Brown would have scratched her with two others in here if he felt she really had to have a firm course.  If we get 6-1, I think it’s an absolute gift.