Revisiting the February 7th Issue
We’ve discussed this before here on LoneSpeed. But it’s worth another look based on recent events. While competing on Day 1 of this year’s NHC on February 7th, I noticed that a number of my contest selections at Gulfstream Park were getting beaten by horses that spent most or all of their time down on…Read More
Imaginary Track Bias?
Not enough time has passed just yet for me to write about my performance at the NHC earlier this month. It’s just something I am not emotionally prepared to put to words. In short, I had a bad Friday, a great Saturday, and a Sunday that didn’t really matter. We’ll leave it at that for…Read More
Does class even matter?
We all put different degrees of emphasis on different aspects of handicapping. Some people focus largely on pace. For others, class is a bigger deal. And then you add in recent form, connections, track conditions, trips, and all of a sudden you’ve got six handicappers identifying six different horses as the most likely winner of…Read More
Can Hanson continue the hotness with American Falls?
It’s Saturday. You’re playing Santa Anita. And you’re in the mood to bet a filly that looks overmatched on paper but that might sneak up and get a piece of the pie at a price. Well, you’re in luck. Because have I got the filly for you!!! (Maybe. We don’t make promises here.) First, let’s…Read More
Do jockeys really matter?
How much does a jockey matter in determining the outcome of a race? Each summer for about 5 years in the mid-1970’s my Dad packed up the family and we would head to Billings, Montana for a couple of weeks for the Yellowstone Exhibition. There was a female jockey riding there named Susie Wilson. I…Read More
The Ultimate Equipment Change
The first time I really noticed the First Time Gelding angle was purely by chance. I played a Carryovered Pick 5 at Fresno on October 9, 2011. I had singled the #8 horse, Pico Pete, in the second leg (the 7th race) however I had meant to single the 6 but I couldn’t read my…Read More
Another Day. Another Lesson.
In last Saturday’s first race at Gulfstream Park, I loved a filly named And She’s Off at 10-1 on the morning line in part because she had been bet to odds of 4-1 in her debut just three weeks earlier, and because she was a $725,000 yearling purchase. She ended up running butt naked dead…Read More
Was it the workouts?
Sunday’s finale at the Lexington, Kentucky racetrack that I refuse to mention by name was more than just the last race of the day. It was the last race of the day’s huge BCBC/NHC contest as well. So there were sure to be major shifts in the leaderboard as contest players tried to gain ground…Read More
When is 5-1 a gift?
For starters, I did not bet on the horse or even the race we are about to discuss. So this isn’t a redboard. I’d like to direct your attention to Santa Anita’s 8th race on Sunday. A $25k claimer for non-winners of two lifetime at 7F on the dirt. Eight horse field. Here is your…Read More
Three Angles for Saturday
The name of the game is value. And sometimes we have a tendency to force our way into finding it when perhaps it isn’t there. That said, there are three horses running at Belmont on Saturday that warrant at least a second look and maybe an inclusion in your wagers. Race 8- The Joe Hirsch…Read More