Angles

Does class even matter?

We all put different degrees of emphasis on different aspects of handicapping.  Some people focus largely on pace.  For others, class is a bigger deal.  And then you add in recent form, connections, track conditions, trips, and all of a sudden you’ve got six handicappers identifying six different horses as the most likely winner of…

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Can Hanson continue the hotness with American Falls?

It’s Saturday. You’re playing Santa Anita.  And you’re in the mood to bet a filly that looks overmatched on paper but that might sneak up and get a piece of the pie at a price.  Well, you’re in luck.  Because have I got the filly for you!!! (Maybe.  We don’t make promises here.) First, let’s…

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Do jockeys really matter?

How much does a jockey matter in determining the outcome of a race? Each summer for about 5 years in the mid-1970’s my Dad packed up the family and we would head to Billings, Montana for a couple of weeks for the Yellowstone Exhibition.  There was a female jockey riding there named Susie Wilson. I…

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The Ultimate Equipment Change

The first time I really noticed the First Time Gelding angle was purely by chance.  I played a Carryovered Pick 5 at Fresno on October 9, 2011.  I had singled the #8 horse, Pico Pete, in the second leg (the 7th race) however I had meant to single the 6 but I couldn’t read my…

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Another Day. Another Lesson.

In last Saturday’s first race at Gulfstream Park, I loved a filly named And She’s Off at 10-1 on the morning line in part because she had been bet to odds of 4-1 in her debut just three weeks earlier, and because she was a $725,000 yearling purchase.  She ended up running butt naked dead…

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Was it the workouts?

Sunday’s finale at the Lexington, Kentucky racetrack that I refuse to mention by name was more than just the last race of the day.  It was the last race of the day’s huge BCBC/NHC contest as well.  So there were sure to be major shifts in the leaderboard as contest players tried to gain ground…

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When is 5-1 a gift?

For starters, I did not bet on the horse or even the race we are about to discuss.  So this isn’t a redboard. I’d like to direct your attention to Santa Anita’s 8th race on Sunday.  A $25k claimer for non-winners of two lifetime at 7F on the dirt.  Eight horse field.  Here is your…

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Three Angles for Saturday

The name of the game is value.  And sometimes we have a tendency to force our way into finding it when perhaps it isn’t there.  That said, there are three horses running at Belmont on Saturday that warrant at least a second look and maybe an inclusion in your wagers. Race 8- The Joe Hirsch…

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This never works

I’ve seen it happen so many times over the years.  A horse is taken out of his normal, established running style in an attempt to make him more competitive in a given race, and the change in tactics doesn’t work and the horse runs off the board.  Does that mean Bill Mott’s clear attempt to…

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Digging deeper into the PPs

Let’s go back in time to August 11th at Saratoga.  Race 1.  I had decided the night before that Bootlegger was going to be the play that started off the day for me.  But in listening to Gabby Gaudet’s pre-race analysis, I happened to catch her comment that Bootlegger didn’t run particularly well over a…

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