Trip Alerts

Blacktype missed the break and that was it

When you watch the reply of last Saturday’s Fort Lauderdale Stakes from Gulfstream Park, you’ll notice two interesting things just before and just after they break from the gate.  First, right before the gates open, Blacktype, in post 6, loses focus for just a brief second as he seems to raise his head and shift…

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Trip Alert- Carrick

Full disclosure: I bet on Carrick in Saturday’s Hollywood Derby at Del Mar.  But even if I had not, I would still be immensely confused as to why Kent Desormeaux made that bold, early move for the lead down the backstretch of a 9 furlong race on grass when his mount, Carrick, was sitting in…

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Mind Your Biscuits- The Final Analysis

Until I watched the replay of the Lukas Classic, I had no intention at all of using Mind Your Biscuits prominently in my Breeders’ Cup Classic wagering.  But now, it’s a virtual certainty that he’ll be a big part of my plays. Make no mistake.  The breeding isn’t there for 10 furlongs with Mind Your…

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Breeders’ Cup Contender Trip Alert: Pocket Dynamo

Allow me to direct your attention to the past performances for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint.  Horse #12, Pocket Dynamo, and his most recent start in the Cornwallis Stakes at Newmarket on October 12th. The winner that day was one of the favorites for this race, Sergei Prokofiev.  And that one ran well, for…

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Trip Alert- Blossom Trail Miss

We’ll keep this short.  Go watch the replay of today’s (Oct 24) 6th race at Keeneland and note what happened to #10 Blossom Trail Miss in the final 1/4 mile.  Or you can add her to your stable mail and just take my word for it.  Suffice it so say, she had trouble more than…

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Consecutive Excuses

It may be simply because I bet on him and lost on Sunday at Keeneland, but it appeared to me that Prolific now has two legitimate excuses for bad performances following his debut win at Belmont last fall. Let’s start with his second career start, which was last April at Keeneland.  He did virtually no…

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Trip Alert- Derby Date

I have no idea if D. Wayne Lukas will try or even be able to get Derby Date into the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile field, given he has yet to record even a single win.  But if Derby Date does find himself in the BC starting gate, I think you owe it to yourself as a…

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Trip Alert: A horse can only run so fast

UPDATE: The fractional times for the Woodbine Mile are currently under video review, calling the entire point of this post into question. Half-way into Saturday’s Woodbine Mile, Lord Glitters was a full 10 lengths behind leader and eventual winner Oscar Performance.  By the time the race was over, Lord Glitters had managed to cut that…

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Trip Alert: Two For the Price of One

Sometimes as handicappers, we have a tendency to only watch the horse we bet on in a given race.  I try not to do that as much as possible, but it happens a lot.  And because of this, we are probably more apt to notice anything out of the ordinary that our horse encounters, overcomes,…

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Trip Alert: Brielle’s Appeal

Saturday’s Kentucky Downs Ladies Sprint was won by Ruby Notion in course-record time (the record was broken in the next race), but if there is a filly to watch going forward, it might be 3rd-place finisher Brielle’s Appeal. Brielle’s Appeal was a LoneSpeed Horse to Watch on Saturday (NOT because she figured to be the…

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