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I have no issue with playing a horse in a route whose best races have come sprinting. Maximum Security and Bodexpress just ran 1-2 in the Florida Derby coming out of 7F races. However, when those impressive sprint performances came from way off the pace, I think what you likely have is a closing sprinter, and I hate playing those when they go long. What is more, I hate playing closers in the Kentucky Derby.
Thus, Win Win Win is unlikely to make an appearance in my Derby wagers. I admit he’s closed nicely in both if his last two races. And I’ll also admit that I think he’s got a bright future. Just at shorter distances. My gut tells me he did what he did in the Blue Grass on sheer ability. And since I don’t feel Signalman is an elite horse, Win Win Win’s nose victory over that one, even if the pace did him no favors, ins’t something to get excited about.
Also, I hate playing stone cold closers going this far. Especially in a year when we don’t project to get a scorching pace. The owner of Win Win Win will get to see her colors in the Kentucky Derby once more, but then it will be on to races like the Woody Stephens and the race formally known as the King’s Bishop, the Allen Jerkens.
I’ll pass, pass, pass. Unless someone changes my mind.