Based on his social media posts, I can only assume that the Scott C. atop the BetPTC leaderboard after Day 1 of the Cash Is King contest is none other than Scott Carson, known on Twitter as @CarsoniPH. Carson tweeted on Saturday that he rode Risky Proposition and his 22.5-1 off odds to wins in “a couple of contests”. And while there is still one day to go in the BetPTC event, Carson’s +2250% ROI stands as a commanding lead in the event with a first prize of a seat in the Pegasus contest at Gulfstream in January.
Although, it isn’t over. Contest rules require all 39 players to wager at least $250 on Saturday and at least $250 on Sunday. Carson bet the minimum on Saturday, and were he to bet only $250 on Sunday and miss with his bet(s), his ROI would drop to +1075%. That’s good news for the other participants, myself included. I missed with all $350 of my plays yesterday, so if Carson doesn’t hit anything today, I need to turn today’s $250 into at least $7,200. That would mean $600 in total wagers over the two days, for a net profit of $6,600 (+1100%). Put another way, I need to make a $250 wager that returns odds of about 29-1. And that requires Carson to miss with his bet(s) today.
The silver lining for me is that entering yesterday, my Plan A was to bet $250 to win on Spikes Shirl in the 8th at Churchill. But then I decided to really dig in to the race, and in doing so, I stopped liking Spikes Shirl. Mainly because I warmed up to another horse at similar odds. But also because I felt like 6F wasn’t Spike Shirl’s best distance. When he won at 6-1, I wanted to vomit. I was sure that a wager on Spikes Shirl as planned would have given me a big lead in the BetPTC contest. But now, given Carson’s hit yesterday, I would still need to hit something today, just at way lower odds.
At the moment, I am planning on either a cold exacta or double that figures to return just over 30-1. Its a longshot for me. But not impossible.
Bad luck to Scott and all the other PTC competitors!!!