BETTING TIPS

LONESPEED HORSE

Returning to the scene of the crime

By Justin Dew | September 26, 2018

Saturday’s Jockey Club Gold Cup (referred to endlessly as the Jockey Gold Cup by lazy speakers) features two horses that experienced extreme difficulty in their respective Kentucky Derby tries in 2017 and 2018.  And with the goal for both being the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Churchill Downs on the first Saturday in November, a Breeders’…

How good is West Coast?

By Justin Dew | September 26, 2018

It seems like Bob Baffert is likely to run West Coast in the Awesome Again at Santa Anita this weekend.  It will be his first start since his runner-up effort to Thunder Snow in the Dubai World Cup, and only his third start since last year’s Breeders’ Cup Classic.  Full disclosure: West Coast has been…

Tourney Talk- There are no mistakes

By Justin Dew | September 24, 2018

A man has an affair, gets caught, and tells his wife “I made a mistake.”  She doesn’t buy it.  Why?  Because that’s not a mistake.  A bad decision?  Yes.  But not a mistake.  A mistake is forgetting to grab the milk while grocery shopping.  Or failing to carry the 1 when balancing your checkbook.  But…

LONESPEED HORSE

Sunday Play of the Day- Belmont Race 2

By Justin Dew | September 23, 2018

Go watch the replay of his debut and get back to me.  I don’t think we’ll get 6-1.  But I’ll take 3-1.

This never works

By Justin Dew | September 22, 2018

I’ve seen it happen so many times over the years.  A horse is taken out of his normal, established running style in an attempt to make him more competitive in a given race, and the change in tactics doesn’t work and the horse runs off the board.  Does that mean Bill Mott’s clear attempt to…

LONESPEED HORSE

Brown Town

By Justin Dew | September 20, 2018

We have some serious racehorses making appearances at Parx on Saturday.  The highlights are the Cotillion and the Pennsylvania Derby for 3-year-olds.  Both with a purse of $1,000,000.  Both with Grade 1 status.  And I think extra consideration needs to be given to two contenders from the Chad Brown barn who are both double digits…

Meet the 2018 Breeders’ Cup Distaff Winner

By Justin Dew | September 20, 2018

She races in the Cotillion at Parx on Saturday. Her name isn’t Monomoy Girl. Her name isn’t Wonder Gadot. Her name isn’t Midnight Bisou. You can thank me later.  Oh, and bet her on Saturday until it goes click.  And don’t tell anyone competing against me in The BIG One.    

LONESPEED HORSE

I’m confused

By Justin Dew | September 19, 2018

As far as I’m concerned, one of the favorites for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is Firenze Fire.  He is your prototypical one-turn miler.  Not merely a one-turn horse.  Specifically a one-turn miler.  So I have no idea why he is passing on the Kelso, a one-turn mile at Belmont, in favor of the Gallant…

Tourney Talk- The BIG Decision

By Justin Dew | September 18, 2018

The BIG One is probably the largest tournament that has never really been on my radar.  In the two years I’ve been participating in tournaments, I think have only played in one online qualifier for it.  I was always aware of The BIG One, but just never gave it much thought. Don’t really have a…

25-1 on Takaful seems….low

By Justin Dew | September 17, 2018

It’s always fun to think about catching a big price on a sneaky horse to win a big race weeks or months in advance.  I’ve hit a few in my day, including Monarchs at 17-1 (could have had 10-1 on Derby Day), and Giacomo at about 50-1 (same price as Derby Day).  I’ve missed way…

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