Blog

The DQ

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. Before we begin discussing the disqualification of Maximum Security and the promotion of Country House to 1st place in the Kentucky Derby, some full disclosure for proper context is in order. I was wrong about several key horses in the race.  I didn’t…

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LoneSpeed Kentucky Derby Analysis

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. As has been well-documented by this point, favorites have won the last six runnings of the Kentucky Derby. If you have followed my wagering advice over those last six years, you lost money every year but 2013, when our top longshot managed to…

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Derby Spotlight: Tax

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. What’s the deal with former claimers this year? Maximum Security debuted for $16k. And this guy ran for a tag in his first two starts, being claimed out of the second race for $50k from Claiborne. If you like Tacitus, are you sort…

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Derby Spotlight: Cutting Humor

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. I’m going to keep this one very short. If Cutting Humor wins the Kentucky Derby, I will seriously consider forgetting everything I know about handicapping. I can name at least 12 horses that I think are more likely to win. Maybe 15. That’s…

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Derby Spotlight: Improbable

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. It’s disgusting how loaded Bob Baffert is this year. Truly obscene. And to be in this kind of position to win another Kentucky Derby with yet another horse from WinStar and China Horse Club just a year after winning the Triple Crown for…

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Derby Pace – My Brain Hurts

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. This year’s Derby pace scenario is making my brain hurt so much, I’m having a hard time handicapping the race and constructing my approach. I thought it was writer’s block, but it’s actually pace scenario block. This is the most indecipherable pace scenario…

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Derby Spotlight: Roadster

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. I was at Del Mar the day Roadster made his career debut. The word was out. Bob Baffert had already said publicly that this guy was his “next Justify”. So the debut win was not a surprise. It is also not surprising that…

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Derby Spotlight: Tacitus

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. The fact that Bill Mott saw for it enter this guy in the Tampa Bay Derby off a four- month layoff speaks volumes about the confidence he has in this son of Grade I winner Close Hatches. The fact that Tacitus won that…

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LoneSpeed Fan Post

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. It’s hard to imagine a Kentucky Derby with Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert bringing out three live horses from his arsenal and leaving without the win. Insert Omaha Beach, my undisputed Derby horse. Richard Mandella deserves upmost praise for the work he’s…

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Derby Spotlight: By My Standards

Brought to you by BetPTC.com, the only ADW offering instant cash back. Let’s go ahead and get this out of the way now. By My Standards will be the wiseguy horse come Derby Week. Take it to the bank. You can’t help but be impressed by the Louisiana Derby win. Especially as someone, like myself,…

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