Tuesday Fair Grounds Play of the Day

Race 4- #3 Golden Loch (8/1)

There may not be enough pace signed on in here to give Golden Loch a chance to fire her best shot. But there are a couple of reasons to believe she will be a much better price than she should be in this MSW event against seven foes. And she’s a definite win candidate.

For the purposes of this discussion, let’s just focus on her last two starts. The June 30 effort at Ellis Park was solid, and she came home fast while earning a 74 Beyer Speed Figure- tied for the top fig in this field. A repeat of that effort would have won the seasonal debut at Fair Grounds on January 30th. Instead, she broke near the back of the pack and never fired. Perhaps she needed the race. Or perhaps her failure to fire was due to the fact that rider Miguel Mena never once used his stick. Watch the replay.

I’m not going to speculate as to why Golden Loch wasn’t asked for a thing in the final 1/4 mile of the January 30th race. But the fact is, she wasn’t. And if, as a newly-turned 4yo, she can improve off that final start as a 3yo back in June, along with maybe some late urging from her rider and a little quickness up front from her foes, she can win. 8-1 on the morning line.


  1. Tom Thornton on February 25, 2020 at 2:13 pm

    2nd out after layoff is a good angle alone , but after watching ride I like even better. Did you happen to be watching first race or just reviewing horses first run after layoff, etc. Looks like worth bet

    • Justin Dew on February 25, 2020 at 2:24 pm

      Hi Tom. I watched the replay as part of my normal handicapping process.

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