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Cup Spotlight: Selcourt

By Justin Dew | October 4, 2018

If John Sadler isn’t careful, he’s going to find himself with the favorite in three of Breeders’ Cup Saturday’s seven races… Accelerate- Classic Catalina Cruiser- Dirt Mile Selcourt- Filly and Mare Sprint While she doesn’t have a Grade 1 win to her credit just yet, Selcourt does have an impressive win at the race distance…

Cup Spotlight: Catholic Boy

By Justin Dew | October 3, 2018

Say what you want about the decision to send Catholic Boy to the Breeders’ Cup Classic directly off the win in the Travers.  From my perspective, if you question the decision, you are questioning the judgment of a trainer who seems to have this horse figured out and headed in the right direction.  So if…

The BCBC is the greatest and best thing in the world

By Justin Dew | October 2, 2018

When the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge first came to be a thing, I never dreamed I’d take part.  The $10,000 entry fee just seemed too steep for me.  So I watched from afar and wallowed in my jealousy as elite bettors and tournament players had all the fun.  But then in 2016 I decided to…

Cup Spotlight: City of Light

By Justin Dew | October 2, 2018

The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is maybe my favorite event on racing’s biggest weekend.   There are always so many different directions you can go from wagering perspective.  We have horses stretching out. We have horses cutting back. And they all meet in the middle in this one-turn mile.  And this year, we will likely…

When is 5-1 a gift?

By Justin Dew | October 1, 2018

For starters, I did not bet on the horse or even the race we are about to discuss.  So this isn’t a redboard. I’d like to direct your attention to Santa Anita’s 8th race on Sunday.  A $25k claimer for non-winners of two lifetime at 7F on the dirt.  Eight horse field.  Here is your…

When bad handicapping leads to a nice score

By Justin Dew | September 30, 2018

Saturday was not a great day for public selections here at LoneSpeed.  In fact, it was a terrible day.  Our three longshot plays at Belmont ran like longshots.  And our Play of the Day, Del Mar May, appeared to encounter trouble in the clubhouse turn and finished last in the Chandelier.  Making matters worse, my…

LONESPEED HORSE

Saturday Play of the Day

By Justin Dew | September 28, 2018

You never want to see a Grade 1 with a purse of $300k draw a field of only six, regardless of the overall talent in the field.  But that’s what we’ve got at Santa Anita on Saturday in the Grade 1 Chandelier at 1 1/16miles for 2yo fillies.  Your expected favorite is Bellafina for Simon…

Three Angles for Saturday

By Justin Dew | September 28, 2018

The name of the game is value.  And sometimes we have a tendency to force our way into finding it when perhaps it isn’t there.  That said, there are three horses running at Belmont on Saturday that warrant at least a second look and maybe an inclusion in your wagers. Race 8- The Joe Hirsch…

LONESPEED HORSE

Returning to the scene of the crime

By Justin Dew | September 26, 2018

Saturday’s Jockey Club Gold Cup (referred to endlessly as the Jockey Gold Cup by lazy speakers) features two horses that experienced extreme difficulty in their respective Kentucky Derby tries in 2017 and 2018.  And with the goal for both being the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Churchill Downs on the first Saturday in November, a Breeders’…

How good is West Coast?

By Justin Dew | September 26, 2018

It seems like Bob Baffert is likely to run West Coast in the Awesome Again at Santa Anita this weekend.  It will be his first start since his runner-up effort to Thunder Snow in the Dubai World Cup, and only his third start since last year’s Breeders’ Cup Classic.  Full disclosure: West Coast has been…

Tourney Talk- There are no mistakes

By Justin Dew | September 24, 2018

A man has an affair, gets caught, and tells his wife “I made a mistake.”  She doesn’t buy it.  Why?  Because that’s not a mistake.  A bad decision?  Yes.  But not a mistake.  A mistake is forgetting to grab the milk while grocery shopping.  Or failing to carry the 1 when balancing your checkbook.  But…

LONESPEED HORSE

Sunday Play of the Day- Belmont Race 2

By Justin Dew | September 23, 2018

Go watch the replay of his debut and get back to me.  I don’t think we’ll get 6-1.  But I’ll take 3-1.