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The Ultimate Equipment Change

By Craig Spencer | December 14, 2018

The first time I really noticed the First Time Gelding angle was purely by chance.  I played a Carryovered Pick 5 at Fresno on October 9, 2011.  I had singled the #8 horse, Pico Pete, in the second leg (the 7th race) however I had meant to single the 6 but I couldn’t read my…

Pull Out Your PPs- Gulfstream’s Saturday Stakes Action (click here)

By Justin Dew | December 14, 2018

It’s time for the first installment of a new series here on LoneSpeed, Pull Out Your PPs.  So…. …grab your PPs and just pull them right on out. Let’s start digging in!!! And yes, I’m aware that the races shown in the PPs do not represent Almanaar’s entire career.  But I’m not gonna redo the…

LONESPEED HORSE

Sometimes class just ain’t enough…

By Justin Dew | December 13, 2018

…and sometimes it’s the deciding factor. The two big turf stakes at Gulfstream Park on Saturday feature full fields and plenty of betting opportunity.  And in my opinion, each race includes a standout from a class perspective that should result in solid favoritism.  But in the case of each, can class carry the day? Capla…

Is this guy f*ckin’ high?

By Justin Dew | December 12, 2018

I don’t know Sports Illustrated’s Tim Layden.  I know his name only because any time he writes an article about horse racing, Horse Racing Twitter goes nuts because the sport we love is finally getting attention from a mainstream publication.  I’m sure Tim Layden is a great guy with lots of friends and a wonderful…

LONESPEED HORSE

When to say “Enough!”

By Justin Dew | December 11, 2018

A major weakness in my handicapping game is an occasional inability to walk away from a horse that I’ve been chasing.  Often, this is out of fear of missing the wedding after suffering through more than one funeral, if you know what I mean.  This fall, Prolific, a three-year-old Godolphin homebred trained by Michael Stidham,…

LoneSpeed Phase II

By Justin Dew | December 11, 2018

Hi folks, We are nearing the end of racing’s slow season, as Santa Anita is just weeks away and the action begins to heat up at Gulfstream Park.  Soon, we’ll be obligated to create a Kentucky Derby Top 10 list.  And before we know it, everyone will start at 0 points on the NHC Tour.…

LONESPEED HORSE

I’ve lost money betting horses like Vibrance

By Justin Dew | December 7, 2018

You’re looking over the past performances for Saturday’s Starlet at Los Al, and you happen to notice that neither of the two Baffert-trained fillies, Mother Mother or Chasing Yesterday, have been two turns.  Then you decide to watch the replay of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, again.  And you come to the conclusion that Vibrance…

LONESPEED HORSE

Is Dueling worth another shot?

By Justin Dew | December 5, 2018

Bob Baffert appears, yet again, to have the field for a California Grade 1 juvenile stakes over a barrel in Saturday’s Los Alamitos Futurity. He’ll enter impressive Breeders’ Cup undercard winner Improbable as well as Bob Hope Stakes winner Mucho Gusto.  The two of them appear headed for heavy wagering support.  And while the field…

Jerry Bailey vs. Azeri

By Justin Dew | December 4, 2018

Many people that I know consider Jerry Bailey to be the greatest tactical rider of the modern era.  And while I don’t pay as much attention to the tendencies, skills, and deficiencies of jockeys as I should, I’d probably be hard pressed to argue with anyone claiming Bailey is at or very near the top…

Trip Alert- Carrick

By Justin Dew | December 4, 2018

Full disclosure: I bet on Carrick in Saturday’s Hollywood Derby at Del Mar.  But even if I had not, I would still be immensely confused as to why Kent Desormeaux made that bold, early move for the lead down the backstretch of a 9 furlong race on grass when his mount, Carrick, was sitting in…

LONESPEED HORSE

Another Day. Another Lesson.

By Justin Dew | December 3, 2018

In last Saturday’s first race at Gulfstream Park, I loved a filly named And She’s Off at 10-1 on the morning line in part because she had been bet to odds of 4-1 in her debut just three weeks earlier, and because she was a $725,000 yearling purchase.  She ended up running butt naked dead…

Tourney Talk- NHC Free Contest Picks

By Justin Dew | December 1, 2018

Maybe I can salvage the day with a good showing in a contest with an entry fee of $0.