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A new approach is needed

By Justin Dew | November 5, 2019

The sport of horse racing, at all levels, is suffering from a massive inferiority complex which has resulted in a pronounced and ongoing defensive posture that may well lead to the continuation of a string of bad decisions which, if allowed to persist, could bring about the end of horse racing in every state not…

Tourney Talk- 52 feet equals $20,000

By Justin Dew | November 3, 2019

The Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge was, yet again, a losing proposition for me. And I don’t have the energy to go bet by bet and give you a complete rundown of the weekend. But who does’t love a good “almost” story? I think you’ll like this one. You might say this story began in 2010,…

LoneSpeed Breeders’ Cup Value Plays

By Justin Dew | October 30, 2019

Two days. 14 races. Lots of opportunities to make money. I don’t have opinions in every race, but I do in many of them. Let’s get started. Juvenile Turf- The temptation here is to go with whichever Euro you think is best. And I won’t talk you out of that approach given how dominant shippers…

Handicapping the Misters

By Justin Dew | October 16, 2019

It is possible, though highly unlikely, that multiple races on Breeders’ Cup weekend could be won by horses named Mr. somethings-or-other. Let’s take a look at them and decide just how many we need to take seriously.       Mr. Tip may run in the Juvenile Turf Sprint on Friday for Calumet and Jack…

Cup Spotlight- Giant Expectations

By Justin Dew | October 16, 2019

If it seems like forever ago that Giant Expectations wired them in the San Antonio at 13-1 on opening day of the Santa Anita meet, that’s because it kinda was. If Giant Expectations makes the starting gate for the 2019 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, he will be searching for his first win in nearly two…

Ed DeRosa will not agree with this post.

By Justin Dew | October 15, 2019

Is it laughable to suggest that a seven-time Grade 1 winner is overrated? It has to be, doesn’t it? What comes after laughable? “Beyond absurd”? Something else? Whatever. I don’t care. I’m going to do it anyway. The most overrated racehorse in America is Elate. The second-most overrated is Sistercharlie. Sistercharlie’s final race in Europe…

Cup Spotlight- Guarana

By Justin Dew | October 15, 2019

Distaff, or Filly and Mare Sprint? I say, who cares? In Chad we trust. It’s easy to dismiss a romping debut win in the slop. How many times have we seen a horse win for fun over an off track and then never duplicate that performance? Several. So draw a line through Guarana’s maiden-breaker back…

Cup Spotlight- Frank’s Rockette

By Justin Dew | October 14, 2019

UPDATE: Disregard this entire post because she isn’t running in the Breeders’ Cup, according to an article in Daily Racing Form on Thursday. Frank’s Rockette has been favored in all four career starts. Yet she has lost all three since her dominating maiden victory in the debut. So you may call her a money burner.…

Cup Spotlight- Scabbard (Noose)

By Justin Dew | October 14, 2019

You may remember him as Noose. But because social justice warriors seem to always get their way these days, you now must call him Scabbard. Regardless of the name, he’s sure to fly into Arcadia under the radar in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. With Eight Rings, Maxfield, and Dennis’ Moment set to take piles upon…

Cup Spotlight- Vitalogy

By Justin Dew | October 13, 2019

We are under three weeks to go until the Breeders’ Cup, and that means it’s time for us to become familiar with as many of the contenders in as many of the races as possible. And while so much can change between now and November 1st, I think Vitalogy, an expected entrant in the Juvenile…

LONESPEED HORSE

LoneSpeed Saturday Bomb of the Day

By Justin Dew | October 5, 2019

Santa Anita Race 8- #8 Kingly This is a pretty ambitious spot for a 3yo with only two prior starts on the grass. There is no doubt he’ll need to run the race of his life to win this. But there isn’t a ton of speed signed on in here. And with main pace threat…

LONESPEED HORSE

Might it be a Godolphin/Godolphin late Double at Keeneland?

By Justin Dew | October 4, 2019

Only one of the 11 juvenile fillies entered in today’s Grade I Alcibiades at a distance of 1 1/16th miles over the Keeneland dirt has ever been two turns. And guess what. She’s done it twice. Godolphin’s Micheline for Michael Stidham comes off a win at Monmouth in the Sorority at a mile on the…