Tuesday Fair Grounds Play of the Day

By Justin Dew | February 25, 2020

Race 4- #3 Golden Loch (8/1) There may not be enough pace signed on in here to give Golden Loch a chance to fire her best shot. But there are a couple of reasons to believe she will be a much better price than she should be in this MSW event against seven foes. And…

Imaginary Track Bias?

By Justin Dew | February 24, 2020

Not enough time has passed just yet for me to write about my performance at the NHC earlier this month. It’s just something I am not emotionally prepared to put to words. In short, I had a bad Friday, a great Saturday, and a Sunday that didn’t really matter. We’ll leave it at that for…

triple crown

Early Clever Kentucky Derby Trifecta

By Justin Dew | February 18, 2020

Don’t ask me how many days we have until the Kentucky Derby. I know it’s less than 90. Suffice it to say, a lot is going to happen between now and then. A lot! However, simple things like time and patience should not stop us from rampantly and irresponsibly speculating as to the make-up of…

The NHC #Fourgate Championship

By Justin Dew | February 2, 2020

It’s highly unlikely that anyone reading this isn’t already familiar with the Fourgate crew and how they came to be front and center in the NHC world back in March. But in case you have been living under a rock or just have a bad memory, I’ll recap. On March 2nd, hosted a free…

An NHC “Also Eligible” Draws In

By Justin Dew | February 1, 2020

On July 7th, 2019, Melvin Simonovic finished in 4th place in an NHC qualifier on It was a solid effort, but unfortunately for Melvin, the contest only awarded NHC seats to the top there finishers. We’ve all been there, and it sucks. The July 7th contest was one of several impressive performances for the…

One more attempt, with new points, to convince the masses

By Justin Dew | January 29, 2020

One way I like to logically work through an issue is to try to respond to opposing arguments in my mind before I am presented with them in real life. This often leads to me changing my mind on a topic before I take a stance in the meeting room at work, or in the…

My $0.02 on Familygate

By Justin Dew | January 24, 2020

Because I have listened to every song on my iPhone nearly 1,000 times while torturing myself on various cardio machines over the last decade or so, my new thing is to listen to horse racing podcasts in an attempt to make 40 minutes feel like the blink of an eye. It seldom works, but that…


2020 Kentucky Derby Winner?

By Justin Dew | January 23, 2020

(UPDATED: Please stop reading now. The race has been run, and I am embarrassed.) The last time Bill Mott ran a first-time starter going two turns on the dirt was on January 25th, 2017. The horse was named Frontliner. The race was at 1 mile and 40 yards at Tampa Bay Downs. Frontliner finished 7th…

Some friendly advice for NHC rookies

By Justin Dew | January 22, 2020

Last year was my first time competing in the NHC. It was effectively only my second year attempting to qualify, and it took me until January to win my seat. There are many, many others with substantially more NHC experience than I have. And these days, there seems to be no shortage of info in…

Saturday Play of the Day

By Justin Dew | January 3, 2020

Gulfstream Park Race 7- The Kitten’s Joy Saturday’s Kitten’s Joy Stakes at Gulfstream Park features a field of nine (including one MTO entrant) newly-turned 3yos going 7 1/2 furlongs on the grass, with the Graham Motion-trained Irish Mias the likely favorite coming off a solid 2nd in the Pulpit Stakes on November 30th. But it’s…

Tourney Talk: Will someone please pay attention?

By Justin Dew | December 8, 2019

File this post under “Constructive Criticism”, and feel free to dismiss it as just another chance for a horseplayer to gripe if you wish. Tampa Bay Downs is hosting the High Rollers Handicapping Contest on January 11th. Up for grabs, based on 100 entries, are two seats to the National Horseplayers Championship plus cash prizes…

A new approach is needed

By Justin Dew | November 5, 2019

The sport of horse racing, at all levels, is suffering from a massive inferiority complex which has resulted in a pronounced and ongoing defensive posture that may well lead to the continuation of a string of bad decisions which, if allowed to persist, could bring about the end of horse racing in every state not…