Tourney Talk- This is it!

By Justin Dew | January 12, 2019

The NHC Tour ends today.  The last event where points can be earned takes place in less than an hour from now on, and by 7:00pm EST tonight, anyone who is more skillful than I am when it comes to using the scoring calculator on the NHC Tour page will know who the champion…

Does class even matter?

By Justin Dew | January 6, 2019

We all put different degrees of emphasis on different aspects of handicapping.  Some people focus largely on pace.  For others, class is a bigger deal.  And then you add in recent form, connections, track conditions, trips, and all of a sudden you’ve got six handicappers identifying six different horses as the most likely winner of…

Can Hanson continue the hotness with American Falls?

By Justin Dew | January 5, 2019

It’s Saturday. You’re playing Santa Anita.  And you’re in the mood to bet a filly that looks overmatched on paper but that might sneak up and get a piece of the pie at a price.  Well, you’re in luck.  Because have I got the filly for you!!! (Maybe.  We don’t make promises here.) First, let’s…


What to do with Code of Honor?

By Justin Dew | January 4, 2019

One of my strongest opinions heading in to the Breeders’ Cup was that Code of Honor was a play-against in the Juvenile.  My basis for this stance was my opinion that his visually-impressive 2nd in the Champagne was dressed up by the fast pace he closed into.  But he scratched out of the BC, so…

Tourney Talk- Saturday’s Santa Anita NHC Qualifier

By Justin Dew | January 3, 2019

As I type this, I am supposed to be landing at Midway Airport in Chicago to compete in the Friday and Saturday NHC qualifiers at Hawthorne while seated at a table with adequate electrical outlets alongside July Hawthorne contest winner Steve Decaspers.  But as you may have noticed from recent social media posts of mine,…

Do jockeys really matter?

By Craig Spencer | December 28, 2018

How much does a jockey matter in determining the outcome of a race? Each summer for about 5 years in the mid-1970’s my Dad packed up the family and we would head to Billings, Montana for a couple of weeks for the Yellowstone Exhibition.  There was a female jockey riding there named Susie Wilson. I…

Goodbye to an a**hole of a year

By Justin Dew | December 27, 2018

As 2017 ended and 2018 began, I was sitting at what was then the peak of my career as a horseplayer.  August 2017 brought an in-the-money finish in the Wynn Handicapping Challenge and a prize of $8,500.  In the span of one week in November, I ended the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge with a bankroll…

Pull Out Your PPs- Santa Anita Opening Day Pick 5 (click here)

By Justin Dew | December 26, 2018

Anatomy of a Losing Pick 4 Ticket

By Justin Dew | December 23, 2018

Is there anything to be learned from a losing $36 Pick 4 ticket?  I’d say there is always at least something to be learned. The lesson may not be all that profound.  And you may learn you were right to make the play you made.  But losing is something to be avoided and you need…

Pull Out Your PPs- Saturday Pick 4 at Fair Grounds (click here)

By Justin Dew | December 22, 2018

Dancing the Mendoza Line

By Justin Dew | December 20, 2018

Baseball fans know the Mendoza Line as this, per Wikipedia: The Mendoza Line is an expression in baseball in the United States, deriving from the name of shortstop Mario Mendoza, whose poor batting average is taken to define the threshold of incompetent hitting. The cutoff point is most often said to be .200[1] (although Mendoza’s…


A little Aqueduct Pick 6 fun for your Thursday

By Justin Dew | December 20, 2018

(4:00pm update: I really hope no one read this.) We’ve got a nifty little carryover in the Aqueduct Pick 6 in store for us today.  A free $175k never hurt anyone, right?  Let’s take a small swing on a tough card and see if we can get lucky with a clever opinion or two. Race…