The Case for Blended Citizen

By Justin Dew | June 2, 2018

It seems as if some combination of Hofburg, Bravazo, and Vino Rosso will assume the role of Belmont Stakes wagering choices two through four, with the Anointed One the clear favorite at something around even money. Tenfold will attract his share of the wagering dollars too, and the rest are headed for big prices. I…

Good Magic Replay Analysis

By Justin Dew | May 15, 2018

Kentucky Derby Preview

By Justin Dew | May 4, 2018

The last time I made a profit on the Kentucky Derby was 2013, when Orb, the favorite, won the race ahead of a longshot I loved named Golden Soul. That was the first of five consecutive years where the favorites have won the Kentucky Derby, including 2016 where they ran 1-2-3-4 in order, and 2015…


The Weekend Recap

By Justin Dew | April 15, 2018

Since anything worse than a 2nd-place finish would have kept My Boy Jack out of the Kentucky Derby starting gate, that’s exactly what I was hoping for in the Lexington Stakes. Things didn’t turn out as I had hoped. And now I am forced, against my will, to make a decision about how to use…


Jockey Games

By Justin Dew | April 11, 2018

My initial reaction to the news that John Velazquez was going to ride Vino Rosso in the Kentucky Derby and that Javier Castellano had chosen Audible over Bolt d’Oro was probably the same reaction that many others had; JV thinks Vino Rosso is better than Audible and Javy thinks Audible is better than “Bolt”. And…


The Case for Good Magic

By Justin Dew | April 2, 2018

Trying to apply the Transitive Property of Equality (or Inequality) to horse racing is amateurish, simple-minded, and a recipe for a lot of losing tickets. That said, I am going to use such methods now as a partial basis for my argument that Good Magic is the best horse in this crop of Derby contenders.…