BREEDERS' CUP

25-1 on Takaful seems….low

By Justin Dew | September 17, 2018

It’s always fun to think about catching a big price on a sneaky horse to win a big race weeks or months in advance.  I’ve hit a few in my day, including Monarchs at 17-1 (could have had 10-1 on Derby Day), and Giacomo at about 50-1 (same price as Derby Day).  I’ve missed way…

Early Breeders’ Cup Bomb Patrol

By Justin Dew | September 12, 2018

We still have nearly two full months until the Breeders’ Cup, but that’s no reason we can’t start searching for sneaky longshots who can help make BC weekend a profitable one.  Maybe they can win.  Maybe they can’t.  But sometimes identifying that 20-1 shot who runs 3rd is just as valuable as picking the winner.…

Sneaky Breeders’ Cup Classic Longshot?

By Justin Dew | September 5, 2018

While nothing is etched in stone, Good Magic missing the Breeders’ Cup seems like a foregone conclusion at this point.  And with his poor effort in the Travers, his Chad Brown barn mate Gronkowski doesn’t appear quite as live as he did, say, immediately after the Belmont. He’ll get another chance to prove he can…

Can we discuss Elate?

By Justin Dew | August 29, 2018

This is probably going to be an unpopular opinion that opens me up to ridicule and scorn.  But I’m going to say it anyway.  I think Elate is overrated. Let’s ignore the four losses in the first five starts of her career.  She had legit excuses in all of them, and in no way do…

BC Classic FW Pool vs. Saratoga Monday Race 7 Superfecta Pool

By Justin Dew | August 28, 2018

In the red corner, we have the entire pool from this past weekend’s Breeders’ Cup Classic Future Wager. In the blue corner, we have just the superfecta pool from Race 7 at Saratoga on Monday. Which pool was larger? It’s been like 20 years since the Kentucky Derby Future Wager was first introduced.  Back then,…

To Future Wager, Or Not To Future Wager?

By Justin Dew | August 23, 2018

I distinctly remember calling a buddy in Las Vegas in August of 2004 and asking him to place a wager on Ghostzapper to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic.  He drove to the nearest sportsbook, and called me to say he was being offered at 10-1.  I was stunned.  “Can you try another sportbook?” I asked.…

Lightning Fast

By Justin Dew | August 21, 2018

If you don’t see yourself betting on an American in the Breeders’ Cup Mile, but aren’t yet ready to hand the race to the sophomore filly Alpha Centauri, might I suggest spending a few moments and familiarizing yourself with a 7yo by the name of Lightning Spear? Some background.  He made one start at age…

Kentucky-California-Kentucky-California

By Justin Dew | August 17, 2018

The official announcement may have come about eight months later than originally planned, but the open secret regarding host sites for the Breeders’ Cup through 2021 was officially announced as fact today.  After the 2018 version at Churchill Downs, we’ll go to Santa Anita for 2019, then a return trip to Keeneland in 2020, followed…

What kind of Classic are we headed for?

By Justin Dew | August 12, 2018

It’s early.  Much can happen between now and November.  But as it stands today, with races like the Pacific Classic, Travers, and Woodward still to be run, the potential field for the Breeders’ Cup Classic probably isn’t scaring anyone that feels they have a horse who will like 1 1/4 miles at Churchill Downs. Let’s…

Distaff Threat?

By Justin Dew | July 30, 2018

Perhaps lost in the excitement of Monomoy Girl’s incredible season and Wonder Gadot’s romps north of the border against boys are the two dominating wins turned in by a filly who just might be on the upswing with a mind on upsetting them all in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Red Ruby’s win in the Black…