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This never works

By Justin Dew | September 22, 2018

I’ve seen it happen so many times over the years.  A horse is taken out of his normal, established running style in an attempt to make him more competitive in a given race, and the change in tactics doesn’t work and the horse runs off the board.  Does that mean Bill Mott’s clear attempt to…

LONESPEED HORSE

Brown Town

By Justin Dew | September 20, 2018

We have some serious racehorses making appearances at Parx on Saturday.  The highlights are the Cotillion and the Pennsylvania Derby for 3-year-olds.  Both with a purse of $1,000,000.  Both with Grade 1 status.  And I think extra consideration needs to be given to two contenders from the Chad Brown barn who are both double digits…

Meet the 2018 Breeders’ Cup Distaff Winner

By Justin Dew | September 20, 2018

She races in the Cotillion at Parx on Saturday. Her name isn’t Monomoy Girl. Her name isn’t Wonder Gadot. Her name isn’t Midnight Bisou. You can thank me later.  Oh, and bet her on Saturday until it goes click.  And don’t tell anyone competing against me in The BIG One.    

LONESPEED HORSE

I’m confused

By Justin Dew | September 19, 2018

As far as I’m concerned, one of the favorites for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is Firenze Fire.  He is your prototypical one-turn miler.  Not merely a one-turn horse.  Specifically a one-turn miler.  So I have no idea why he is passing on the Kelso, a one-turn mile at Belmont, in favor of the Gallant…

Tourney Talk- The BIG Decision

By Justin Dew | September 18, 2018

The BIG One is probably the largest tournament that has never really been on my radar.  In the two years I’ve been participating in tournaments, I think have only played in one online qualifier for it.  I was always aware of The BIG One, but just never gave it much thought. Don’t really have a…

25-1 on Takaful seems….low

By Justin Dew | September 17, 2018

It’s always fun to think about catching a big price on a sneaky horse to win a big race weeks or months in advance.  I’ve hit a few in my day, including Monarchs at 17-1 (could have had 10-1 on Derby Day), and Giacomo at about 50-1 (same price as Derby Day).  I’ve missed way…

Trip Alert: A horse can only run so fast

By Justin Dew | September 16, 2018

UPDATE: The fractional times for the Woodbine Mile are currently under video review, calling the entire point of this post into question. Half-way into Saturday’s Woodbine Mile, Lord Glitters was a full 10 lengths behind leader and eventual winner Oscar Performance.  By the time the race was over, Lord Glitters had managed to cut that…

LONESPEED HORSE

Saturday Longshots and Top Picks for Woodbine

By Justin Dew | September 14, 2018

The Woodbine Mile card steals the show this weekend.  Let’s dive right in and talk about most-likely winners and longshots that can spice things up. Race 6- The Sweet Briar Too On one hand, it feels like Mark Casse is just trying to find a spot where Victory to Victory can recapture some of the…

Trip Alert: Two For the Price of One

By Justin Dew | September 14, 2018

Sometimes as handicappers, we have a tendency to only watch the horse we bet on in a given race.  I try not to do that as much as possible, but it happens a lot.  And because of this, we are probably more apt to notice anything out of the ordinary that our horse encounters, overcomes,…

LONESPEED HORSE

Remember Proviso? Well, ya might wanna read this.

By Justin Dew | September 13, 2018

If you’re planning to play Churchill Downs on Friday, allow me to direct your attention to Race 5.  A maiden special weight event on the grass for 3yos and up featuring your average, ordinary field of colts and geldings, most of whom last raced at Ellis or Kentucky Downs.  You’ve seen races like this a…

Early Breeders’ Cup Bomb Patrol

By Justin Dew | September 12, 2018

We still have nearly two full months until the Breeders’ Cup, but that’s no reason we can’t start searching for sneaky longshots who can help make BC weekend a profitable one.  Maybe they can win.  Maybe they can’t.  But sometimes identifying that 20-1 shot who runs 3rd is just as valuable as picking the winner.…

LONESPEED HORSE

A cold double for your Wednesday

By Justin Dew | September 11, 2018

Bonus card alert!!!  Sunday’s weather cancellation at Kentucky Downs means we get some unexpected midweek action.  And LoneSpeed has two interesting opinions in the Wednesday co-features that make up a nice little cold double, if you are so inclined. Race 8- Dueling Grounds Oaks With Pamina and Heavenly Love likely to attract the bulk of…